Market Recap (Nov. 14)

After opening the week strong, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) sustained severe losses at the opening bell on Wednesday, finishing the day down 3.2%. This overnight drop was caused predominantly by the news that Italy’s borrowing costs would continue to rise. Investors acted on concerns about the credit status of Italy and instability in the Eurozone in general. The market bounced back on Friday as plans for an interim government after the imminent resignation of Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi began to emerge. As expected, Berlusconi resigned on Saturday as the lower chamber of Italy’s parliament approved new austerity measures in a revised budget bill. Mario Monti, an economist and former European commissioner, was announced as Berlusconi’s successor effective Sunday night. Investors will likely react favorably to this decision by parliament given the extremely negative perception that the international community at large held with respect to Berlusconi’s leadership.

Europe’s debt crisis remains one of the most significant roadblocks to sustainable increases in the markets. On the whole, the economy is slowly recovering as is reflected in generally fair valuations and better-than-expected quarterly earnings reports. Eurostat will release reports on industrial production and inflation within the Eurozone on November 14 and November 16 respectively. These reports will provide important insight into the overall economic health of the countries that investors have been so focused on. Investors are also worried about the increasing spreads in yield premiums between Germany and other large Eurozone countries such as France, Austria, and Belgium. If these spreads do not tighten over the next week, the market will likely fall off the gains it made late this past week.

Earnings reports from Walt Disney Corp. (DIS +0.95%) were released this week. Disney announced a rise in fourth-quarter earnings Thursday afternoon, giving investors a pleasant surprise. Bond markets were closed for Veteran’s Day on Friday but positive developments over the weekend in Europe (specifically in Italy) should promulgate a bond selloff on Monday that could push equities even higher. Of course, this increase will likely not be sustainable unless regulators can come up with a viable plan to keep Italy’s and other struggling countries’ borrowing costs low.
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Editorial Staff